Monday, March 28, 2022

Ukraine vs Russia Advantage Ukraine

During the 2012 attack on Benghazi, Twitter was the primary source of news, direct reported facts, gripping photos and reports of casualties. 

By 2012, Mainstream media had already shifted to the far left and reporting was skewed to the official Hillary Clinton State Department version of news. In real time MSNBC, ABC, CNN and NBC continued to push the Clinton version that nothing was happening while twitter users in Libya tweeted disturbingly gruesome photos of the lifeless body of Ambassador Christopher Stevens. 

During the 48 hours of September 11, 2012 - September 12, 2012 the Obama White House and the Clinton State Department continued to report the events as nothing more than angry protestors.  

Yet Twitter users world wide saw a very different set of facts.

Since then Twitter has programed their platform to show tweets based on the left's narrative as well. By Twitter shadow banning conservative voices and shifting the timeline to only those tweets that adhere to their socialist liberal agenda, twitter has created a protective bubble for liberal to frolic in a world of rainbows and unicorns.

This has not only made twitter worthless for real time reporting, but also for being able to gage the real feelings of our nation on any subject or really understand the truth.

As I've said many times before you can't make an informed decision if you only know one side of the story. In other words, how to do know you're view of things is right if you never hear the wrong point of view.

Liberal users of twitter believed that Hillary was a lock as President of the United States because after all everyone they saw on twitter was supporting her.

Fast forward ten years to the Russian War Against Ukraine - Unless you are following certain sources you are only seeing the Left's version of the Russian War on Ukraine.

Even if the story agrees with the left agenda, you now have to wade through endless pop-up ads, video commercials and distracting bull shit telling you why you need to put a water bottle on your tire or tin foil on your hotel room door knob when traveling. 





Elliot Ackerman penned this piece on Saturday and it was quickly lost in the swirl of Joe Biden saying "For God's Sake. This Man Cannot Remain in Power!" 

A statement that was quickly walked back. The third such gaff in as many days by the US President.

So here without the swirl is a Ackerman's fantastic retelling of a first hand account of fighting the Russians:

A few nights ago in Lviv, after an early dinner (restaurants shut at 8 p.m. because of curfew), I stepped into the elevator of my hotel. I was chatting with a colleague when a man in early middle age, dressed and equipped like a backpacker, thrust his hand into the closing door. “You guys American?” he asked. I told him we were, and as he reached for the elevator button, I couldn’t help but notice his dirty hands and the half-moons of filth beneath each fingernail. I also noticed his fleece. It had an eagle, a globe, and an anchor embossed on its left breast. “You a Marine?” I asked. He said he was (or had been—once a Marine, always a Marine), and I told him that I’d served in the Marines too.

He introduced himself (he’s asked that I not use his name, so let’s just call him Jed), and we did a quick swap of bona fides, exchanging the names of the units in which we’d both served as infantrymen a decade ago. Jed asked if I knew where he could get a cup of coffee, or at least a cup of tea. He had, after a 10-hour journey, only just arrived from Kyiv. He was tired and cold, and everything was closed.

A little cajoling persuaded the hotel restaurant to boil Jed a pot of water and hand him a few tea bags. When I wished him a good night, he asked if I wanted some tea too. The way he asked—like a kid pleading for a last story before bed—persuaded me to stay a little while longer. He wanted someone to talk with.

As Jed sat across from me in the empty restaurant, with his shoulders hunched forward over the table and his palms cupped around the tea, he explained that since arriving in Ukraine at the end of February, he had been fighting as a volunteer along with a dozen other foreigners outside Kyiv. The past three weeks had marked him. When I asked how he was holding up, he said the combat had been more intense than anything he’d witnessed in Afghanistan. He seemed conflicted, as if he wanted to talk about this experience, but not in terms that could turn emotional. Perhaps to guard against this, he began to discuss the technical aspects of what he’d seen, explaining in granular detail how the outmanned, outgunned Ukrainian military had fought the Russians to a standstill.

First, Jed wanted to discuss anti-armor weapons, particularly the American-made Javelin and the British-made NLAW. The past month of fighting had demonstrated that the balance of lethality had shifted away from armor, and toward anti-armor weapons. Even the most advanced armor systems, such as the Russian T-90 series main battle tank, had proved vulnerable, their charred husks littering Ukrainian roadways.

When I mentioned to Jed that I’d fought in Fallujah in 2004, he said that the tactics the Marine Corps used to take that city would never work today in Ukraine. In Fallujah, our infantry worked in close coordination with our premier tank, the M1A2 Abrams. On several occasions, I watched our tanks take direct hits from rocket-propelled grenades (typically older-generation RPG-7s) without so much as a stutter in their forward progress. Today, a Ukrainian defending Kyiv or any other city, armed with a Javelin or an NLAW, would destroy a similarly capable tank.

If the costly main battle tank is the archetypal platform of an army (as is the case for Russia and NATO), then the archetypal platform of a navy (particularly America’s Navy) is the ultra-costly capital ship, such as an aircraft carrier. Just as modern anti-tank weapons have turned the tide for the outnumbered Ukrainian army, the latest generation of anti-ship missiles (both shore- and sea-based) could in the future—say, in a place like the South China Sea or the Strait of Hormuz—turn the tide for a seemingly outmatched navy. Since February 24, the Ukrainian military has convincingly displayed the superiority of an anti-platform-centric method of warfare. Or, as Jed put it, “In Afghanistan, I used to feel jealous of those tankers, buttoned up in all that armor. Not anymore.”

This brought Jed to the second subject he wanted to discuss: Russian tactics and doctrine. He said he had spent much of the past few weeks in the trenches northwest of Kyiv. “The Russians have no imagination,” he said. “They would shell our positions, attack in large formations, and when their assaults failed, do it all over again. Meanwhile, the Ukrainians would raid the Russian lines in small groups night after night, wearing them down.” Jed’s observation echoed a conversation I’d had the day before with Andriy Zagorodnyuk. After Russia’s invasion of the Donbas in 2014, Zagorodnyuk oversaw a number of reforms to the Ukrainian military that are now bearing fruit, chief among them changes in Ukraine’s military doctrine; then, from 2019 to 2020, he served as minister of defense.

Russian doctrine relies on centralized command and control, while mission-style command and control—as the name suggests—relies on the individual initiative of every soldier, from the private to the general, not only to understand the mission but then to use their initiative to adapt to the exigencies of a chaotic and ever-changing battlefield in order to accomplish that mission. Although the Russian military has modernized under Vladimir Putin, it has never embraced the decentralized mission-style command-and-control structure that is the hallmark of NATO militaries, and that the Ukrainians have since adopted.

“The Russians don’t empower their soldiers,” Zagorodnyuk explained. “They tell their soldiers to go from Point A to Point B, and only when they get to Point B will they be told where to go next, and junior soldiers are rarely told the reasonthey are performing any task. This centralized command and control can work, but only when events go according to plan. When the plan doesn’t hold together, their centralized method collapses. No one can adapt, and you get things like 40-mile-long traffic jams outside Kyiv.”

The individual Russian soldier’s lack of knowledge corresponded with a story Jed told me, one that drove home the consequences of this lack of knowledge on the part of individual Russian soldiers. During a failed night assault on his trench, a group of Russian soldiers got lost in the nearby woods. “Eventually, they started calling out,” he said. “I couldn’t help it; I felt bad. They had no idea where to go.”

When I asked what happened to them, he returned a grim look.

Instead of recounting that part of the story, he described the advantage Ukrainians enjoy in night-vision technology. When I told him I’d heard the Ukrainians didn’t have many sets of night-vision goggles, he said that was true, and that they did need more. “But we’ve got Javelins. Everyone’s talking about the Javelins as an anti-tank weapon, but people forget that the Javelins also have a CLU.”

The CLU, or command launch unit, is a highly capable thermal optic that can operate independent of the missile system. In Iraq and Afghanistan, we would often carry at least one Javelin on missions, not because we expected to encounter any al-Qaeda tanks, but because the CLU was such an effective tool. We’d use it to watch road intersections and make sure no one was laying down IEDs. The Javelin has a range in excess of a mile, and the CLU is effective at that distance and beyond.

I asked Jed at what ranges they were engaging the Russians. “Typically, the Ukrainians would wait and ambush them pretty close.” When I asked how close, he answered, “Sometimes scary close.” He described one Ukrainian, a soldier he and a few other English speakers had nicknamed “Maniac” because of the risks he’d take engaging Russian armor. “Maniac was the nicest guy, totally mild-mannered. Then in a fight, the guy turned into a psycho, brave as hell. And then after a fight, he’d go right back to being this nice, mild-mannered guy.”

I wasn’t in a position to verify anything Jed told me, but he showed me a video he’d taken of himself in a trench, and based on that and details he provided about his time in the Marines, his story seemed credible. The longer we talked, the more the conversation veered away from the tangible, technical variables of Ukraine’s military capacity and toward the psychology of Ukraine’s military. Napoleon, who fought many battles in this part of the world, observed that “the moral is to the physical as three is to one.” I was thinking of this maxim as Jed and I finished our tea.

In Ukraine—at least in this first chapter of the war—Napoleon’s words have held true, proving in many ways decisive. In my earlier conversation with Zagorodnyuk, as he and I went through the many reforms and technologies that had given the Ukrainian military its edge, he was quick to point out the one variable he believed trumped all others. “Our motivation—it is the most important factor, more important than anything. We’re fighting for the lives of our families, for our people, and for our homes. The Russians don’t have any of that, and there’s nowhere they can go to get it.”

Elliot Ackerman is the author, most recently, of the novel Red Dress in Black and White and a co-author of the novel 2034. He is a former Marine and intelligence officer who served five tours of duty in Iraq and Afghanistan. 

14 comments:

Anonymous said...

Crazy how the much feared Russian Army turned out to be a bunch of worthless pussies. Cedar is right about twitter so far left leaning that you can't just scroll along the tweets and get a feel for the direction of the country. If you did you'd think everyone loves Joe Biden vs only a 40% approval rating and that's from MSNBC!

Anonymous said...

Putin is just going to get mad and nuke em so none of it matters anyway.

Anonymous said...

I don't under stand why Biden can't say to Putin Knock it off? He clearly knows he's fucked up. He's destroyed what economy he had and has made it clear he can't be trusted. Russians aren't happy with Putin and its only time before he's vanquished to Siberia

Anonymous said...

I wouldn't believe that the Russian economy is destroyed....possibly on the contrary Russia is doing this to break the petro dollar system. China, India, Brazil are all continuing to buy oil and gas from them. If they follow through on a system that bypasses the dollar completely....well goodbye American dollar. The US ability to run a perpetual deficit will be gone without destroying the dollars purchasing power many times worse than we already do.
Putin doesn't care about being treated well by the West, he has what the rest of the world needs: resources.
Find a map that shows who is putting sanctions on them. It is maybe 30 countries: Nato plus Australia and Japan. They can thrive without us. Europe, on the other hand, shut down nuclear and coal and has to have Russian gas, or they freeze to death.
And wait until the fertilizer price surge hits our grocery stores right when the dollar dumps 40%. Bigger game being played than just a little territory aggression here.

Anonymous said...

How do you know what to believe anymore? Everything that was called Russian disinformation and collusion in the past turned out to be liberal disinformation and collusion including Hunters laptop. I'm not defending Russia by any means, just saying they have been blamed for things they did not do (by officials that knew it was a lie) in the past. There is too much fog to be clear on anything. Remember when Biden said Hunters laptop was a Russian scheme, and 51 intelligence officers signed a letter saying the same thing, all knowing good and well the laptop belonged to Hunter which has now been confirmed. Now hearing (although not confirmed) Hunter had DOD access codes good for up to 20 years. Now this with the biolab funding in Ukraine which is being denied. I'm not certain who is good and bad anymore there have been so many lies. The only thing I feel sure of is that 2:13 is correct. Bigger game being played.

https://nypost.com/2022/03/26/hunter-biden-played-role-in-funding-us-bio-labs-contractor-in-ukraine-e-mails/

Anonymous said...

I believe we were the ones trying to break the Petro dollar system by pulling security from Saudi Arabia right after we left Afghanistan. Saudi Arabia had no reason to uphold the 1973 agreement to sell petroleum in us dollars if we were not keeping up our end.

I am open to the possibility that there is something about this I am unaware of so please correct if I got it wrong and do your own fact check. I hope I got this wrong.

Anonymous said...

Pledge fund?

Anonymous said...

Has anyone gotten robbed yet at the Vi Lyles memorial car charging station on Beatties Ford Road? Ain't no brotha in da hood got no 'lectric ride!

Anonymous said...

I have no idea what's up over there, but I can promise this, our intel community is both corrupt and incompetent, so whatever they have been doing there, has caused this mess to be worse. I know our leadership in DC has been horrible for decades on both sides of the aisle. Trump at least was not a 'party guy' so he had everyone frozen with fear- which means he was a danger to their power. I have no idea what will happen to the economy, except the powers that be want us to be slaves to big pharma, slaves to govco providing food support, and perpetual renters from Blackrock. (hey, thank you Blackrock for making Steele Creek equally unaffordable and at the same time a burgeoning slum. That takes some severe talent!)

And I know the ain't no way that charging station has gotten used once, but it won't stop Clt govco from seeking more. There are no EV's there because there's no access- they will say. And guarantee you one of those creeps on council is getting some sort of shady contract to put that thing up.

Anonymous said...

What in the actual ****!! Watch all the way to the end for the Gaetz mic drop!

https://twitter.com/RepMattGaetz/status/1508842680830382089

Anonymous said...

Blackrock? Don't they own a big chunk of Pfizer and Moderna? What are they doing in Steele Creek? Wait, are they behind the constant calls and texts trying to buy your house?

Anonymous said...

Yup, Blackrock. And American Homes 4 Rent, offerpad, Zillow, Redfin, and many others. Blackrock and AH4R are buying to specifically turn into rentals, the others think they can make money flipping homes and cutting commissions out. You can, until the tide turns, and even then Zillow figured they were buying too high. it's all one big game, and it's liable to crash, but in the meantime, if you are in the market for a home and have a qualified and funded mortgage letter....you are going to lose to an all cash, 20% over asking price offer from a hedge fund or Blackrock.
Blackrock has more money under management that is is the third largest economy in the world behind the US and China. And Larry Fin is as much to blame for high gas prices with the BS ESG standards he pushed. No funding for oil and gas, since it's not 'enviro' clean.
Putin is a bastard, but he's over there. We have our own supervillains here.

Anonymous said...

The only reason the Russians are pulling away from the cities is to get distance. You cant gas or Nuke your own forces. Get ready for a wild ride peoples.

Anonymous said...

Pledge fund?